Top 10 Programs Most Likely to Receive a P5 Bid

Receive-a-P5-Bid

Disclaimer: Essentially, this whole discussion resolves around the possibility of joining the Big 12, seeing how they are the only conference that has been talking about expanding (even if it’s all a waste of time). The Pac 12 seems to be the only other conference that may consider expansion in the future but this list will eventually just lead to nothing, like most of my articles. So without further ado, here is the list of top 10 programs most likely to receive a P5 bid.

Receive-a-P5-Bid

Houston

The Cougars have been talked a lot about for a potential P5 spot since the hopeless Big 12 expansion topic began. To make their candidacy more compelling, the University of Houston built a 40,000-capacity football stadium in 2014, the largest screen in college baseball, a 20,000-square-foot baseball development center and clubhouse, and currently constructing an 80,000-square-foot indoor football practice facility and $20 million basketball arena renovations. The Coogs have dominated in football with a 38-15 record, 4 bowl appearances, and a 7-2 record against P5 schools since joining the AAC four years ago. If their competitiveness, facilities, or strong fan base of 38,953 average football attendance doesn’t solidify their spot as the top P5 candidate, the shear fact they are located in the fourth largest city should. Houston is consistently one of the top places for football, basketball and baseball recruits. Adding a school surrounded by that caliber of recruits and its massive TV market makes the University of Houston an asset for any conference.

Most likely P5 conferences:
Big 12: while this conference dwindles in schools and the SEC continues to take over Texas, adding Houston would solidify their Lone Star power.
Pac 12: this conference is doing just fine but secluded to the west coast. Making a trip to Texas for the recruits and TV market would be a great move.

Receive-a-P5-Bid

Colorado State

Like so many G5 schools, after a successful 2014 season going 10-3, the Rams lost HC Jim McElwain to Florida. Since then, HC Mike Bobo has lead Colorado State to two consecutive 5-3 seasons. With a fairly successful 2-2 start to the 2017 season including a win over Oregon State and only losses to Colorado and Alabama, the Rams seem to continue their line of success in the MWC. With the recent talks of P5 expansions, Colorado State’s Athletic Department seems to be interested in keeping their name at the top of that list. The Rams opened up this football season in a brand-new 41,200 capacity football stadium. The state of Colorado only boasts one P5 school at the moment and with a 5.5 million population, it’s not hard to believe their second largest college would make the jump up.

Most likely P5 conferences:
Big 12: after the loss of Colorado to the Pac, adding another Colorado school would get them back in the Rocky Mountain market.
Pac 12: although the Pac already dominates the best of the Rocky Mountains, if they want to make sure no other conference enters their territory, adding Colorado State would solidify that.

Receive-a-P5-Bid

Memphis

The Tigers have continued to succeed in a state where they are pushed down by Tennessee and Vanderbilt. Regardless of being surrounded by the SEC, Memphis manages to maintain a dedicated fan base that’s usually hard to come by in a G5 conference. After HC Justin Fuente left to regain Virginia Tech back to ACC glory, Mike Norvell led the Tigers to an 8-5 record defeating #18 Houston. This season, Memphis is 3-0 with a win over #25 UCLA and looking like a top 25 team. While the Tigers have continued to compete against P5 teams, their most valuable asset for a P5 bid is being located in the 25th largest city.

Most likely P5 conferences:
Big 12: if the Big 12 ever actually decides to expand, making the move into the seemingly titanic SEC territory wouldn’t be a bad idea.
ACC: Like the Big 12, making a move into Tennessee would make good since.

Receive-a-P5-Bid

Cincinnati

The Bearcats have struggled in recent years since joining the AAC and made the decision to let go of HC Tuberville after going 18-14 in conference play. After hiring Luke Fickell from Ohio State as HC, Cincinnati is now 2-2 and hopes to rebuild their once powerful program. With their beautiful Nippert Stadium residing in the middle of campus, the Bearcats manage to average 33,585 per game, regardless of their recent disappointments. It goes without saying that Ohio is a Buckeye state and because of that, a Big Ten state. Due to this, the University of Cincinnati has been sadly overlooked since the Big East days. The fact is, UC is the second largest university in Ohio and located in a large city.

Most likely P5 conferences:
Big 12: Similar to Memphis, making a move into Big Ten country would be a good move.
ACC: with the addition of Pitt, the ACC has been encroaching on the Big Ten. Ohio would be the next stop.

Receive-a-P5-Bid

UCF

The Knights have seen extreme highs and lows. In 2013, UCF saw a 12-1 season with wins over Louisville and Baylor. Only two years later, the Knights managed to go 0-12 as the worst FBS team. Last year in a truly rebuilding season, UCF went 6-7 and managed to make it to a bowl game. This year they finally seem to be back to their previous glory with a 2-0 record that includes a huge win over Maryland. Even with a losing record last year, UCF managed to maintain a 35,802-average attendance. In such a college football saturated state like Florida, the Knights manage to maintain relevance due to their size of 64,319, making them the largest college in America.

Most likely P5 conferences:
Big 12: If the Big 12 wants to expand their territory, having a footprint in Florida wouldn’t be bad for the recruits and TV market of Orlando.
SEC: Obviously, the SEC is in no position to seek expansion but as the ACC claims two colleges in the largest state in the area, adding a second Florida school wouldn’t hurt.

Receive-a-P5-Bid

ECU

Most likely P5 conferences:
SEC: As previously stated, the SEC is the last conference to seek expansion but ACC-saturated North Carolina would be the next obvious state.
Big 12: It’s a bit far for the Big 12 in a state that isn’t top 3 for recruits but with ECU’s winning tradition and diehard fan base that boasts the largest average attendance of any G5, the Pirates could be an asset.
Receive-a-P5-Bid

USF

Most likely P5 conferences:
Big 12: Florida would be a great state if the conference wants to expand its territory cross-country and the Bulls seem serious about achieving success. Their lack of fan support is something that needs improvement however.
SEC: Like UCF, USF would be the second Florida school for the SEC that would balance their race for the Sunshine State against the ACC.
Receive-a-P5-Bid

Boise State

Most likely P5 conferences:
Pac 12: When it comes to G5 success, no one has done it like Boise State. The Broncos were creating a G5 brand before this expansion topic was even talked about. Unfortunately, the Pac has shown little interest in Boise State due to their academic standards. If the conference needed to expand however, this would be a good solution.
Big 12: If the conference wanted an immediate competitive brand regardless of academics, Boise State would be the best option.
Receive-a-P5-Bid

SMU

Most likely P5 conferences:
Big 12: The Mustangs have a lot of history with the former SWC rivals in the Big 12. Unfortunately, SMU has seen little to no success since the conference and don’t even have a baseball team. With the addition of TCU, the Big 12 has complete control over the DFW market.
Pac 12: Obviously, Texas would be a great addition if the conference sought expansion. Although there appears to be more valuable options, SMU would be a nice step into the DFW market.
Receive-a-P5-Bid

UCONN

Most likely P5 conferences:
ACC: The Huskies would be a perfect fit for such a basketball heavy conference. If the ACC wants to remain relevant in football however, UCONN would greatly hurt that.
Big 12: During the ever-so dramatic expansion discussion, UCONN managed to find their way to the top of the list. With obvious success in basketball, the Huskies seem to be a viable option. Due to their laughable football program however, it’s hard to image a scenario where UCONN doesn’t hinder the conference competitiveness.
chairgatin-dont-be-dumb

Facebook Comments